US
US Unemployment Rate
Topic
N/A
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 1
Pending: 16
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Predicted US unemployment rate to be 4.5% by the end of 2025.
"the median projection of the unemployment rate is 4.5% at the end of this year"
Dec 10, 2025
Incorrect
The US unemployment rate is projected to be 4.5% by the end of 2025, according to the median SEP participant.
"the median projection for the unemployment rate is 4.5% at the end of this year"
Sep 17, 2025
Pending
The US unemployment rate is predicted to rise from its current level of 4.2% soon.
"the unemployment rate is it's settled at around 4.2 and it's probably going to start going higher ag..."
Jun 27, 2025
Pending
The US unemployment rate is projected to rise to 4.5% from a previous expectation of 4.4%.
"the unemployment rate is expected to go up to 4.5%. Instead of the previous expectation of 4.4%."
Jun 20, 2025
Pending
The US unemployment rate for January 2025 (released in early February 2025) is not likely to be 'super super high' (e.g., 4.3% or 4.4%).
"I don't necessarily think that it's the most likely outcome this month that it's going to come in yo..."
Jan 31, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve Bank anticipates an increase in the US unemployment rate in 2025.
"according to the Federal Reserve Bank is that they are expecting unemployment to rise in 2025"
Jan 16, 2025
Pending
Predicted that the US unemployment rate will not dramatically increase from 4% to 10% in the immediate future.
"I don't really think you're going to see the unemployment rate go from you know 4% to 10% basically ..."
Dec 24, 2024
Correct
The US unemployment rate could start rising again by the end of 2024.
"you could get a scenario going into the end of the year where the unemployment rate starts to go bac..."
Oct 8, 2024
Pending
The US unemployment rate will continue to slowly increase.
"my base case is the unemployment rate continues to slowly go higher"
Sep 12, 2024
Pending
US unemployment rate to rise to mid-fours (e.g., 4.4% - 4.6%) in the near term.
"I do think that even if the FED Cuts rates a lot of things and plans have been in action for a while..."
Aug 9, 2024
Pending
The US unemployment rate, currently at 3-4%, is predicted to continue to increase, potentially reaching 5-10%.
"When you're at 3 to 4% unemployment it's only getting worse and it's just it's a it's a bad feeling ..."
May 14, 2024
Pending
US Unemployment Rate predicted to drop to 3.7% (April data, released May 2024) and then spike to 4% (May data, released June 2024).
"then it would mean the unemployment rate could still potentially go down on the next data point pote..."
Apr 22, 2024
Pending
The US unemployment rate is likely to go above 4% by the end of 2024.
"it just seems likely that at some point between now and the end of the year given the pace of the un..."
Mar 21, 2024
Pending
The US unemployment rate is predicted to start significantly increasing around Q4 2024.
"It didn't really start to pick up until month like 21 right so another seven months from now right w..."
Mar 3, 2024
Pending
The US unemployment rate is predicted to start picking up around Q4 2024.
"it didn't really start to pick up until month like 21 right so another seven months from now right w..."
Mar 3, 2024
Pending
The US unemployment rate is expected to continue rising in the current cycle as long as monetary policy remains tight.
"the unemployment rate is is moving up it's above its 24mth SMA and and there's no clear sign yet tha..."
Feb 22, 2024
Pending
Unemployment in the US is predicted to increase in 2024.
"you can expect unemployment to rise in 2024"
Jan 30, 2024
Pending
US government and Federal Reserve anticipate an increase in unemployment during 2024.
"the government and the Federal Reserve Bank saying that unemployment needs to rise in 2024"
Jan 30, 2024
Pending